Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#54
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#45
Pace67.2#177
Improvement-5.2#329

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#98
Improvement-3.1#307

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#32
Improvement-2.1#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.5% n/a n/a
First Round7.8% n/a n/a
Second Round2.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 212   Austin Peay W 80-71 90%     1 - 0 +3.0 -2.3 +4.6
  Nov 13, 2011 149   @ Loyola Marymount W 58-51 63%     2 - 0 +11.7 -8.6 +20.7
  Nov 15, 2011 59   @ UCLA W 86-66 38%     3 - 0 +31.3 +19.2 +12.1
  Nov 19, 2011 284   UNC Greensboro W 82-60 95%     4 - 0 +11.5 +3.8 +7.6
  Nov 20, 2011 24   Belmont L 84-87 2OT 48%     4 - 1 +5.6 -1.0 +7.0
  Nov 26, 2011 212   @ Austin Peay W 90-70 76%     5 - 1 +20.8 +8.4 +10.5
  Dec 01, 2011 165   @ Tennessee St. W 77-62 68%     6 - 1 +18.5 +6.5 +11.9
  Dec 04, 2011 73   Akron W 77-53 68%     7 - 1 +27.4 +11.3 +17.7
  Dec 07, 2011 124   @ UAB L 56-66 57%     7 - 2 -3.6 +0.0 -5.7
  Dec 10, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 78-62 98%     8 - 2 -1.9 +2.7 -3.0
  Dec 13, 2011 24   Belmont W 65-62 48%     9 - 2 +11.6 +1.1 +10.9
  Dec 21, 2011 84   Mississippi W 68-56 59%     10 - 2 +17.9 -1.0 +18.7
  Dec 29, 2011 231   Florida International W 71-66 92%     11 - 2 1 - 0 -2.2 -0.5 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2011 205   South Alabama W 68-52 89%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +10.5 -7.5 +18.0
  Jan 05, 2012 267   @ Troy W 63-53 85%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +7.2 -12.1 +19.9
  Jan 07, 2012 198   Louisiana W 65-53 89%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +6.7 -9.8 +15.7
  Jan 12, 2012 231   @ Florida International W 70-59 79%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +10.6 -3.7 +14.1
  Jan 14, 2012 208   @ Florida Atlantic W 67-54 75%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +14.0 -1.4 +16.1
  Jan 19, 2012 193   Arkansas St. W 59-46 89%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +7.9 -8.3 +18.3
  Jan 21, 2012 205   @ South Alabama W 68-47 74%     18 - 2 8 - 0 +22.3 +3.4 +21.2
  Jan 26, 2012 267   Troy W 71-58 94%     19 - 2 9 - 0 +3.4 -5.7 +10.1
  Jan 28, 2012 13   @ Vanderbilt L 77-84 19%     19 - 3 +10.4 +13.7 -3.5
  Feb 02, 2012 159   @ North Texas W 68-66 66%     20 - 3 10 - 0 +6.1 -4.0 +10.0
  Feb 04, 2012 79   @ Denver L 60-75 44%     20 - 4 10 - 1 -5.2 -4.0 -2.8
  Feb 09, 2012 188   Western Kentucky W 72-64 89%     21 - 4 11 - 1 +3.1 -7.1 +9.6
  Feb 11, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 68-60 88%     22 - 4 12 - 1 +3.5 +3.0 +1.4
  Feb 18, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic W 72-59 90%     23 - 4 13 - 1 +7.2 +0.2 +7.6
  Feb 23, 2012 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 94-61 92%     24 - 4 14 - 1 +25.9 +16.2 +9.6
  Feb 25, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky L 67-73 73%     24 - 5 14 - 2 -4.1 -1.0 -3.3
  Mar 04, 2012 193   Arkansas St. L 61-64 82%     24 - 6 -4.7 -5.9 +0.8
Projected Record 24.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 14.7% 14.7% 12.8 0.3 4.5 8.3 1.5 0.0 85.3 14.7%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 14.7% 0.0% 14.7% 12.8 0.3 4.5 8.3 1.5 0.0 85.3 14.7%